Live Monitoring and Analysis by BETH News Agency

Two Days of Confrontation

1. Deep Israeli Strikes Inside Iran

At dawn on Friday, June 13, Israel launched a massive air campaign (Operation Rising Lion), involving more than 200 aircraft in five waves. Around 100 strategic sites were targeted, including nuclear facilities (Natanz and Fordow), military bases, and drone and missile launch sites.

The strikes resulted in the killing of 9 nuclear scientists, senior IRGC commanders including Major Generals Mohammad Bagheri and Hossein Salami, and high-ranking advisors.

Iran confirmed about 78 people killed and more than 320 civilians injured.

Israel inflicted significant damage to the electrical infrastructure of Natanz, though underground nuclear facilities remained partially intact.

2. Intense Iranian Response

Tehran launched over 100 to 150 ballistic missiles and more than 100 drones under Operation “True Promise III”.

Israeli air defenses intercepted most of them, but several projectiles hit targets within Israeli territory, causing 3 deaths and injuring over 90 people.

There were injuries and destroyed vehicles in Tel Aviv and other central cities.

3. Field, Economic, and Political Consequences

Civil aviation was suspended over neighboring countries. Airports like Tel Aviv were closed, and several airlines suspended flights.

Energy markets reacted sharply: oil surged by about 8–10%, and gold held at high levels.

Nuclear negotiations between Iran and the United States were completely halted after Tehran declared that dialogue was “now meaningless.”

Global calls, especially from the UN, urged restraint, while Israel and the U.S. affirmed readiness to continue military engagement.

🔮 What’s the Outcome So Far?

This has been the most violent confrontation between Iran and Israel in decades.

Israel inflicted severe damage on Iran’s nuclear program and military leadership, while Iran responded with heavy missile fire that caused casualties inside Israel.

The war remains in its early phase, but Israel demonstrated significant aerial superiority, whereas Iran showcased its retaliatory capabilities—despite the high cost.

🔍 What Might Happen Next?

Possible scenarios:

Widening of War:
Proxy forces like Hezbollah, and militias in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen may join, escalating it into a regional war.

Prolonged War of Attrition:
Both sides have the capacity to continue for weeks or even months with ongoing strikes and limited counterstrikes.

Diplomatic Push to De-escalate:
Pressure from the U.S. and Europe may lead to a ceasefire deal, though mutual trust is highly strained.

Energy as a Strategic Lever:
Iran may threaten to block the Strait of Hormuz or target oil shipments, which could prompt direct international intervention.

🌙 Night 1: June 12–13

Israel launched Operation Rising Lion in five aerial waves, targeting around 100 sites in Iran including Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, as well as IRGC facilities.

About 78 Iranians (including nuclear scientists and senior generals like Salami and Bagheri) were killed, with over 320 injured.

Surface infrastructure in Natanz and Isfahan was destroyed, though underground facilities were less affected.

🌙 Night 2: June 13–14

🔁 Iran’s Response – “True Promise III”

Iran fired more than 150 ballistic missiles and around 100 drones toward Israel.

Some missiles penetrated the Iron Dome defenses, striking residential areas in Tel Aviv, Rishon LeZion, and Jerusalem, killing 3 to 5 civilians (including two women) and injuring 19–90 others.

Multiple homes and apartments in central Israel were damaged or destroyed.

🇮🇱 Israel’s Counterattack

Israel responded with a new wave of airstrikes, targeting Tehran, Mehrabad Airport, Isfahan, Tabriz, Hamedan, and other military infrastructure.

A uranium conversion facility in Isfahan was completely destroyed; strikes also hit Mehrabad Airport.

Airbases in Tabriz and Hamedan were attacked to weaken Tehran's air defenses.

Multiple missile and drone launch sites were destroyed.

🔮 Expected Today/Tonight

Continued Missile Exchanges:
Iran likely to launch more drones and missiles; Israel to retaliate with precision strikes, possibly on oil facilities or economic assets.

Deeper Aerial Confrontation:
Israeli jets may attempt to destroy radar stations and air defenses deeper inside Iran.

Exceptional Measures:
Israel is mobilizing more reservists and enhancing civil defenses. Iran may retaliate economically or via cyber operations.

International Pressure:
UN, EU, and U.S. likely to intensify mediation efforts to prevent escalation, especially if global energy markets are further affected.

⚠️ Summary

Escalation is ongoing between two military powers with advanced defense systems and nuclear capability.

The conflict is at a critical point; severe retaliation is likely within hours unless de-escalation efforts intervene.

More mutual strikes are expected until external powers step in to halt the descent into a broader war.

⚠️ BETH Analysis Summary

This marks an unprecedented escalation between two nuclear-capable states with advanced air defense systems.

Israel demonstrated strategic superiority, but the scale of Iranian retaliation may push both sides toward escalation or political recalibration.

The true objective remains unclear: Is Israel seeking to eliminate Iran’s nuclear program? Or is this a deterrence operation? Iran may continue retaliating, but full-scale war remains costly.

Ending this war will ultimately depend on whether global powers step in to open negotiation channels and implement verifiable oversight.